Module 2: Threat likelihood and impact modeling

Module 2: Threat likelihood and impact modeling#

AINS6302 — AI for Risk Assessment

Essential Question#

How can AI support risk estimation?

Scenario#

a cyber risk committee prioritizing mitigation across assets with different exposure and business value

Stakeholders: CISO, risk officer, system owner, auditor, and executive sponsor

Core Moves#

  • Define the decision boundary

  • Compare baseline and alternative

  • Interpret evidence and assumptions

  • Identify failure modes

  • Recommend next action

Lab & Assignment#

Create a likelihood-impact model.

Artifact: cyber risk assessment package with scoring rationale, treatment plan, and executive dashboard focused on threat likelihood and impact modeling: Create a likelihood-impact model.